Sector outlook
The market research institute Drewry recently raised its growth forecast for global container throughput in 2023 to 1.0 %, compared with its estimate in March. However, there are significant differences between the individual shipping regions.
For example, the forecast for the Europe shipping region has been downgraded significantly: instead of growth of 0.9 %, Drewry now expects a decline of 1.2 %. An even stronger throughput loss of 4.5 % is expected for North-West Europe. Drewry’s experts believe that the northern European ports will be hit particularly hard by shrinking economic output in the eurozone and the sanctions-related loss of Russian business. Although a recovery is expected for the second half of the year, it is unlikely to be sufficiently robust to prevent a further year of declining throughput volumes in the European shipping regions.
Growth expectation in % |
|
December |
|
March |
|
June |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
World |
|
0.8 |
|
0.4 |
|
1.0 |
|||
Asia as a whole |
|
0.9 |
|
0.4 |
|
1.8 |
|||
China |
|
0.3 |
|
- 0.6 |
|
1.1 |
|||
Europe as a whole |
|
2.1 |
|
0.9 |
|
- 1.2 |
|||
North-West Europe |
|
2.1 |
|
- 0.9 |
|
- 4.5 |
|||
Scandinavia and the Baltic region |
|
5.6 |
|
- 8.3 |
|
- 4.3 |
|||
Western Mediterranean |
|
0.6 |
|
1.4 |
|
- 0.5 |
|||
Eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea |
|
2.2 |
|
6.5 |
|
5.1 |
|||
|