Half-year Financial Report January – June 2023

Sector outlook

The market research institute Drewry recently raised its growth forecast for global container throughput in 2023 to 1.0 %, compared with its estimate in March. However, there are significant differences between the individual shipping regions.

For example, the forecast for the Europe shipping region has been downgraded significantly: instead of growth of 0.9 %, Drewry now expects a decline of 1.2 %. An even stronger throughput loss of 4.5 % is expected for North-West Europe. Drewry’s experts believe that the northern European ports will be hit particularly hard by shrinking economic output in the eurozone and the sanctions-related loss of Russian business. Although a recovery is expected for the second half of the year, it is unlikely to be sufficiently robust to prevent a further year of declining throughput volumes in the European shipping regions.

Expected container throughput by shipping region 2023

Growth expectation in %

 

December

 

March

 

June

World

 

0.8

 

0.4

 

1.0

Asia as a whole

 

0.9

 

0.4

 

1.8

China

 

0.3

 

- 0.6

 

1.1

Europe as a whole

 

2.1

 

0.9

 

- 1.2

North-West Europe

 

2.1

 

- 0.9

 

- 4.5

Scandinavia and the Baltic region

 

5.6

 

- 8.3

 

- 4.3

Western Mediterranean

 

0.6

 

1.4

 

- 0.5

Eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea

 

2.2

 

6.5

 

5.1

Source: Drewry Maritime Research, 2022/2023